Tuesday, February 28, 2006
CNN/USA Today/Gallup POLL
(The telephone poll was conducted February 18-26 among 804 current city residents, 399 of them white and 311 of them black. The sampling error for general questions is plus or minus 4 percent, while results broken down by race have a sampling error of 6 percent.)
The CNN/USA Today/Gallup poll released Tuesday indicates that 54 percent of the city's residents appreciate Nagin's hurricane-response efforts, but only 19 percent said they definitely would vote for him.
When asked if they "would vote for Ray Nagin for mayor," white residents overwhelmingly said they were less likely to re-elect Nagin, who is black, than were black respondents. Only 9 percent of whites said Nagin would get their vote come April, and 56 percent said he definitely will not. Thirty-one percent said they would consider voting for him.
Conversely, 31 percent of black respondents said they definitely will vote for him, 29 percent said they will not and 35 percent said they will consider it.
Nagin's closest competitor for the job is Mitch Landrieu, who has tepid support among both whites and blacks, according to the poll. Only 17 percent of blacks and 18 percent of whites said they would definitely vote for Landrieu, who is white, while 42 percent of blacks and 49 percent of whites said they would consider it.
Thirty-two percent of blacks and 27 percent of whites said they are "definitely voting against" Landrieu.
LPNS COMMENTARY: THE N.O. MAYOR RACE IS WIDE OPEN: 19% FOR NAGIN, 17% FOR LANDRIEU. IT APPEARS THAT THE ONLY HOPE FOR THESE TWO IS TO MAKE THE RUN-OFF WITH EACH OTHER. AS IN THE FAMOUS MOVIE QUOTE, "HOUSTON WE HAVE A PROBLEM!"
MOON GRIFFON ONLINE POLL TODAY:
Who should be elected to really change New Orleans?
Ray Nagin 1%
Mitch Landrieu 10%
Someone Else 89%
To participate: http://moongriffon.com/